Malaysia Shipping Report Q1 2016

Malaysia Shipping Report Q1 2016

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Published on Oct 26, 2015 - 87 pages

The 2016 growth pict ure at Malaysia's ports i s slightly mixed , with tonnage and box gains differing between the facilities . The P ort of Kuantan is set to be the outperformer once more in terms of tonnage growth (just under 10%) as the port is smaller than others and so there is spare capacity a t the facility. Meanwhile, the box throughput outperformer is set to be P ort Klang with growth of 8.46% pencilled in for 2016.

Looking at the macroeconomic picture, although we estimate that export growth is enduring a slowdown in 2015 (1% annual growth compared to 4.1% in 2014), July's figures looked promising with Dow Jones reporting a y-o-y rise of 3.5% in that month. This was attributed to an increase in shipments of electrical products; however, we do caution that the protracted slowdown in China will affect Malaysian shippers in 2016.

Over 2016-2019, we anticipate that Malaysia's best-performing port in average y-o-y container growth terms is set to be Port Klang, at 7.58% to reach over 17mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs), while the Port of Kuantan will be the outperformer with regard to tonnage growth, at 8.28%. Underpinning our trend forecast for the sector, which, although relatively bright across the broad, represents a slowdown from 2015 levels, is the fact that we envisage certain economic icebergs on the horizon in the form of the ongoing economic slowdown in China, as well as from lower oil prices. Considering its status as Malaysia's largest trade partner (accounting for approximately 15% of exports), the ongoing slowdown in China's economy will continue to weigh on Malaysia's export growth.

Headline Industry Data

The real value of Malaysia's total trade will rise by 4.05% in 2016, up on the 1.05% rate estimated for 2015.
Total tonnage volume handled at Port Klang will grow by 1.75% to 222.04mn tonnes in 2016, while box throughput at Port Klang will rise by 8.46% to 13.13mn TEUs.

The Malaysia Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Malaysia.

BMI's Malaysia Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Malaysia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Malaysia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Malaysian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Malaysia through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.
Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.



Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Klang Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013
Market Overview
Malaysia Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
MISC Berhad
Shipping - Global Industry View
Three Container Routes To Watch In 2015
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Low Oil Prices No Hammer Blow To Overall Economy
Table: Economic Activity (Malaysia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)