India Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

India Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Regular price $1,295.00 Sale

Published on Nov 04, 2015 - 78 pages

We expect positive growth across the board in India's freight transport sector in 2015 and over the medium term. However, the growth will not be even, with the anticipated expansion in air freight especially to outperform, while road freight - where growth will be tempered in the near term by a gloomy outlook for agricultural produce - will lag.

India's trade will enjoy growth in real terms in 2015 (ending March 2016), driven by an expansion in both imports and exports. In real terms, we forecast an expansion of 1.8% in total trade this year, thanks to a real expansion of 1.0% in imports and 2.5% in exports. Growth in trade will accelerate moderately in 2016, when we forecast growth of 2.7%. In nominal terms, however, there will be a contraction in 2015, when we expect that trade will shrink by 1.4% to USD986.6bn. Growth will return next year at 5.7%, leading to trade worth USD1,043.1bn. Imports will account for the greater proportion of this, at USD538.3bn to exports' USD504.8bn, thanks to India's trade deficit.

Reflecting the size of the country, India's road freight network is huge, and we forecast that 7.03bn tonnes will be transported by road haulage in 2015, ending March 2016. If realised, this would represent growth of 2.4%, a slight slowdown on last year's 3.6% expansion rate. Consumer demand is the key driver of road haulage volumes in India, but given the country's sizeable manufacturing base, growth in road haulage will also be driven by goods exports. Agricultural produce is also transported by road, and a less sanguine outlook in this regard has tempered our growth near-term forecasts, but has the potential to boost volumes looking further ahead.

The India Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

BMI Research's India Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Indian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on India to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Indian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in India.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).
Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:

  • Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
  • Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
  • Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
  • Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
  • Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)
Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.


IndustryTrends andDevelopments

Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

Political Outlook

The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles*

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.



Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (India 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (India 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (India 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (India 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast