Chile Shipping Report Q1 2016

Chile Shipping Report Q1 2016

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Published on Nov 10, 2015 - 92 pages

Healthy growth is the order of the day across Chile's ports in 2015, with the Port of San Antonio set to be the outperformer in tonnage throughput growth (7.0% year-on-year growth) and the Port of Valparaiso poised to come in first place in terms of annual box throughput (8.0%). Growth is set to remain robust over our forecast period to 2019 and our forecasts are predicated on strong macroeconomic fundamentals, improving consumer confidence and the trade pact signed between Chile and various regional peers.

The Pacific Alliance, a trade pact signed between Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru three years ago, entered into force on July 20. The new trade bloc aims to establish a commercial integration area based on the free circulation of goods, services, capital and people. The trade agreement abolishes certain import tariffs, according to the Colombian trade ministry, and allows citizens of member countries to more easily qualify for work visas in partner nations, according to Colombia Reports.

In H2 2015 and 2016, Chilean real GDP growth will significantly accelerate as investment activity and household consumption pick up. This follows a temporary slowdown of growth in H1 2015 after a spate of corruption allegations eroded both business and consumer confidence in Chile's historically stable political environment. Businesses in Chile will increase their inventories and investment in fixed capital projects after natural disasters shut down several copper mines. Moreover, tailwinds from low oil prices will boost household consumption. We forecast real GDP growth of 3.0% in 2015 and 3.7% in 2016, from a five-year low of 1.9% in 2014.

Headline Industry Data For 2015

The port of Valparaiso's tonnage throughput is forecast to grow by 6.5%.
The port of San Antonio's tonnage throughput is forecast to grow 7.0%.
Valparaiso's container throughput is forecast to grow by 8.0%.
San Antonio's container throughput is forecast to grow 7.0%.

The Chile Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and BMI Research's independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Chile.

BMI's Chile Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Chile.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Chile to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Chilean shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Chile through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.
Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.



Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of San Antonio Throughput
Port Of Valpara-so Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Chile 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Chile 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Chile 2012-2019)
Table: Chile's Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Chile's Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Chile Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Compa--a Chilena de Navegaci-n Interoce-nica (CCNI)
CSAV
Shipping - Global Industry View
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes
Table: Major Beneficiaries
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Chile 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Chile 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Chile 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Chile 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Chile 1990-2025)